While you wouldn't know it right now thanks to highs in the 60s today and 70s tomorrow, winter is going to be slow to relinquish its hold over middle and east Tennessee. This warm weather we are experiencing might get a few hatches going, and of course once the bugs start they can't really stop, but realistically it might still be a couple of weeks at best. As recently as 5 days ago it was looking like we might be in for an early warmup that would last long enough to get the hatches going, but now with a strong front moving in tomorrow night and forecast highs by the middle of next week in the 40s at best, I'm ready to tie a few more flies and wait for the main event.
My friend James Marsh over at www.flyfishingsmokymountains.com reported a couple of days ago that some Quill Gordon nymphs he found just outside of the Park were nowhere close to being ready to hatch. This short warmup won't be enough to get the main show rolling.
The 6-10 day and 8-14 day outlooks from the Climate Prediction Center indicate extremely high chances of colder than normal weather for the next couple of weeks. Here are the two graphics for those two time periods respectively.
Yep, it's going to be cold still for a while. On the plus side, the cold weather should include fairly dry conditions which will allow time for the tailwaters to come down after the rain tomorrow. Also, I should mention that some of the best shad kills on the Caney Fork have happened in years that were cold later into March than usual. Plus, all the cold water now translates into happy trout that will stay healthy all summer on the tailwaters.
UPDATE: 2/7/2016 Smokies Fly Fishing Report -- Cold water is back for the next week or so. In fact, it looks like we may end up with some snow over the next 2-3 days. Expect the fishing to be slow although a few fish can usually be dredged up on nymphs and midges. If you want a shot at some larger fish, try throwing some streamers. In particular, olive or brown sculpin patterns might get a big brown trout interested.
Caney Fork Fly Fishing Report: Flows are up even more than they have been but fish can still be caught on streamers. The cold months are streamer season for this river so contact me about a float trip if you want to enjoy this fishing at TroutZoneAnglers@gmail.com or call/text (931) 261-1884.
Cumberland Plateau Fishing Report: The musky streams have been running high since the heavy rain last week but are dropping closer to a good fishable level and now is the time to get out and chase the toothy critters. Keep an eye on flows and get out if the weather warms even a little.
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